Study Warns Potential Second Wave Of China Born Virus
The Corona Virus is still spreading here in the United States and we can only hope all of our safety measures help to end this pandemic faster. But even if we do everything in our power to prevent the spread of the virus we still have to rely on other countries like China to contain it on their end. If they open their borders and start traveling they very well could cause another outbreak in another country.
"A new study suggests that ending social distancing too soon in Wuhan, China, where the novel coronavirus outbreak started, could cause a "second wave" in the summer.
The research, published in The Lancet Public Health journal, notes that keeping the social distancing measures in place until early April could delay the "second wave" until early October. If the ban were lifted too soon, it could happen as soon as August.
"The unprecedented measures the city of Wuhan has put in place to reduce social contacts in school and the workplace have helped to control the outbreak," said the study's lead author, Kiesha Prem, in a statement. "However, the city now needs to be really careful to avoid prematurely lifting physical distancing measures, because that could lead to an earlier secondary peak in cases. But if they relax the restrictions gradually, this is likely to both delay and flatten the peak."
In their observations, the researchers found that if the measures were lifted in early April, it could reduce infections by 24 percent through the end of the year. Other scenarios were also modeled as part of the research.
China recently announced it would lift the lockdown on Wuhan, a city with more than 11 million residents, on April 8. Fox News previously reported that travel restrictions were relaxed in the city."
Even if China decides to open their borders prematurely we luckily still have our border closed. But once our borders open we need to start testing anyone that comes here from a foreign country. The last thing we need is another outbreak here in the United States.