Our first confirmed report of the Corona Virus was on January 21st. We tried our best to contain it, but flashforward and now we are in this predicament. It seems almost every public event is being canceled and many of us are practically stuck in our homes trying to hide from the virus. Many of us, I am sure, are asking just how much longer do we have to be trapped in our homes and worried to make a simple grocery run? When will life get back to normal?
Trump wants to reopen the country by Easter and whereas that would be great, it may be more of wishful thinking than anything else. We have still not tested enough people and are finding new cases every day, which means unless they roll out a miracle drug/cure in the next week it looks like the end is not yet in sight.
“Specifically, the pandemic won’t end until enough of the population is immune to the disease (at least 60 percent, experts say) – either by surviving it and becoming immune, which may or may not happen – or through a yet-to-be-made vaccination.
A high number of cases all at once, though, could overwhelm our hospitals and experts say a vaccine likely won’t be ready for more than a year.”
“In a worst-case scenario, without serious mitigation efforts, hospital beds in the U.S. could be full by April and 2.2 million Americans could die of the virus – not to mention those who would die of other ailments because they couldn’t get medical care – a study from the Imperial College London concluded, according to The Atlantic.”
But in the best-case scenario:
“It’s possible the bulk of social distancing could be over within a month or two if the virus turns out to be “not be a serious pathogen, suddenly,” said William Hanage, an epidemiology professor at the Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, according to the Atlantic, but experts say this scenario is unlikely.
“Right now if everybody complies [with social distancing] measures, we’re looking at a two-month window, three months at a minimum,” Lilian Alessa of the University of Idaho, told Live Science.
Hanage speculates, though, that within three to four months experts could learn enough about the virus to resume some – but not all – normal activities.”
So we have about 2-3 months until people here in the United States can see life semi get back to normal and that’s as long as we don’t have a second come from an infected country.
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